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5 Surprising Caffeine and Weight Gain Statistics

Written by Andrew Le, MD

UpdatedNovember 28, 2024

The relationship between caffeine and body weight is complex. While plain black coffee is low in calories, the sugar, cream, chocolate, and other indulgent additives in popular coffeehouse drinks can undermine weight management efforts.

However, caffeine exhibits various biological effects that may aid fat-burning and weight loss when consumed judiciously. This article analyzes recent scientific research on the connections between caffeine intake, coffee consumption, weight gain, and obesity while considering the importance of lifestyle factors.

🔑 Key Takeaways

  • Doubling caffeine intake led to a 22% reduction in weight, a 17% reduction in BMI, and a 28% reduction in fat mass on average across 13 randomized controlled trials, suggesting caffeine promotes weight and fat loss.
  • Each additional daily cup of unsweetened caffeinated coffee was associated with 0.12 kg less weight over 4 years; adding a teaspoon of sugar resulted in 0.09 kg more weight gain over 4 years.
  • Higher dietary caffeine intake correlated with 28% lower body fat mass and significantly reduced LDL cholesterol levels in a study of 488 overweight and obese individuals.
  • A 420-calorie grande White Chocolate Mocha Frappuccino from Starbucks contains 61 grams of sugar, illustrating how specialty coffee drinks can undermine weight loss efforts.
  • Caffeine from mate tea lowered LDL cholesterol and triglyceride production by 37-39% in rat livers by decreasing the expression of the Fasn gene.

Can Caffeine Make You Gain Weight?

Caffeine, a key component of coffee, can influence weight in various ways. It can boost metabolism and fat burning, especially when paired with exercise, which may aid in weight loss.

Caffeine also affects appetite and hormones; it can stimulate the release of cortisol, which might lead to increased cravings for high-calorie foods. Additionally, caffeine can disrupt sleep, and poor sleep is linked to weight gain.

Therefore, the impact of coffee on weight depends on how it's consumed (with or without high-calorie additives), its influence on individual metabolism and appetite, and its effects on sleep patterns. Drinking coffee in moderation, without excessive additives, and avoiding it close to bedtime can be part of a healthy lifestyle that supports weight management.

Caffeine and Weight Management

Recent studies have emphasized how this stimulant might influence body weight, BMI, and fat mass. As people increasingly turn to caffeine for its energizing effects, understanding its potential impact on weight management becomes crucial in addressing global health concerns related to obesity. Here are some of the studies about caffeine and weight management:

1. Doubling caffeine intake led to a mean reduction in weight, BMI, and fat mass of 22%, 17%, and 28%, respectively, in a meta-analysis of 13 randomized controlled trials. (PubMed)

A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials investigated the effect of caffeine intake on weight loss. The study included 13 randomized controlled trials with 606 participants.

The findings showed that for every doubling in caffeine intake, there was a mean reduction in weight, BMI, and fat mass of 22%, 17%, and 28%, respectively. Specifically, the overall pooled Beta for the effect of caffeine intake was 0.29 for weight, 0.23 for BMI, and 0.36 for fat mass. This suggests caffeine intake might promote weight, BMI, and body fat reduction.​

2. Each one-cup per day increase in unsweetened caffeinated coffee was linked to a 4-year weight reduction of -0.12 kg while adding sugar resulted in a 4-year weight gain increase of +0.09 kg. (PubMed)

A study published in the American Journal of Clinical Nutrition used data from three large prospective cohort studies—the Nurses' Health Study, Nurses' Health Study II, and the Health Professional Follow-up Study—to assess the relationship between changes in coffee consumption, caffeine intake, and weight changes while considering the addition of sugar, cream, or a nondairy coffee whitener.

After multivariable adjustment, each one cup per day increment in unsweetened caffeinated coffee was associated with a reduction in 4-year weight of -0.12 kg. Conversely, adding a teaspoon of sugar to coffee was associated with a 4-year weight gain of +0.09 kg. This indicates that while unsweetened coffee (both caffeinated and decaffeinated) is inversely associated with weight gain, adding sugar counteracts this benefit​.

3. Higher dietary caffeine intake in overweight or obese individuals was associated with lower body fat mass, higher fat-free mass, better glycemic status, and lower LDL cholesterol. (BMC)

A cross-sectional study of 488 overweight or obese volunteers (BMI > 25 kg/m^2) examined the association between dietary caffeine intake and metabolic profile. The study found that higher tertiles of dietary caffeine intake were associated with lower body fat mass, higher fat-free mass, better glycemic status, and lower LDL cholesterol.

The study suggests that caffeine's health effects on weight regulation include increased energy expenditure and fat oxidation, inhibiting phosphordiesterase, increasing thermogenesis and fat oxidation, and affecting hormone-sensitive lipase activity and fat oxidation pathways.

Lower total cholesterol and LDL were observed in the highest tertiles of dietary caffeine intake, and these associations remained significant even after adjusting for multiple confounders​.

Impact of High-Calorie Coffee Drinks and Caffeine's Biological Effects

Coffee offers many choices, from the simple, calorie-light black coffee to the more indulgent, calorie-rich specialty drinks. This diversity caters to various taste preferences and poses significant implications for health, particularly in weight management and metabolic health. Let’s explore more of this below.

4. A grande White Chocolate Mocha Frappuccino from Starbucks contains 420 calories and 61 grams of sugar, illustrating specialty coffee drinks' high calorie and sugar content. (BuoyHealth)

While plain black coffee has minimal calories, high-calorie specialty coffee drinks like lattes and frappuccinos often contain high calories and added sugars. For example, a grande White Chocolate Mocha Frappuccino from Starbucks made with whole milk can contain 420 calories and 61 grams of sugar.

Similarly, a medium-sized Caramel Craze latte from Dunkin' with whole milk can have 410 calories and 39 grams of added sugar. Regularly consuming such high-calorie coffee drinks can lead to excess calorie consumption and undermine weight loss efforts​.

5. Caffeine from mate tea reduced the expression of the Fasn gene by 39% in fat tissue and 37% in the liver, resulting in lower LDL cholesterol and triglyceride production in a rat study. (Science Daily)

A study found that caffeine from mate tea reduced the expression of the Fasn gene by 39% in fat tissue and 37% in the livers of rats on a high-fat, high-sucrose diet. The decreased expression of Fasn and other genes in the liver resulted in lower production of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglycerides.

The study concluded that caffeine consumption from mate tea or other sources alleviated the negative impact of a high-fat, high-sucrose diet on body composition due to the modulation of certain lipogenic enzymes in both adipose tissue and the liver​.

📔 Related Article

For additional statistical insights on weight management, feel free to explore our collection of articles:

Final Thoughts

While plain black coffee provides minimal calories, added cream and sugar in specialty coffee drinks pose risks for weight gain. Caffeine exhibits complex effects; it can boost metabolism, aid fat burning, and disrupt hormones and sleep, potentially promoting cravings and hunger.

The impact of caffeine on weight comes down to individual factors like genetics, lifestyle, and consumption habits. However, evidence suggests drinking unsweetened coffee in moderation while minimizing its use near bedtime, supporting healthy weight management as part of a balanced lifestyle.

The key is avoiding excessive intake of high-calorie coffeehouse beverages, which undermine caffeine’s benefits.

FAQs on Caffeine and Weight Gain

How can coffee be consumed to aid in weight loss?

Coffee can be part of a weight loss strategy if consumed wisely. Drinking black coffee or with minimal added sweeteners and flavors is recommended to avoid excess calories. Additionally, drinking coffee before workouts can improve exercise performance, promoting weight loss. However, coffee is not a magic bullet for weight loss and should be combined with a nutritious diet, physical activity, sufficient sleep, and stress management.​

Does coffee make you gain water weight?

No, coffee does not make you gain water weight. In high doses, caffeine acts as a diuretic, increasing urine production and fluid loss. However, moderate caffeine consumption does not significantly affect overall fluid balance in the body​.

Can caffeine decrease insulin sensitivity, and how does this affect weight?

Yes, caffeine can decrease insulin sensitivity, making the body less responsive to insulin's effects. This can lead to higher blood sugar levels and increased fat storage, potentially resulting in weight gain over time. However, the polyphenols in coffee and tea may counteract some of the negative effects of caffeine on insulin sensitivity.